As featured in the January 2011 issue of Career College Central…
CONTRIBUTED ARTICLE
Proprietary institutions are unique in the landscape of American industry. On the one hand, there is an ethical responsibility to the student to provide the best possible education while maintaining affordability and a customer-centric approach. On the other, there is a fiduciary duty to stockholders and/or ownership to deliver consistent and increasing returns on their considerable capital investment. Management can feel squeezed from both ends, especially as new government regulations threaten to cut financial aid to some institutions, forcing students to shoulder an unbearable load of the upfront financial burden while simultaneously reducing stockholder returns.
The situation is one that few people would envy. Managers feel that they must focus on one area of responsibility to the detriment of the other. Either way, students are hurt and profits dry up.
There has to be another solution, right? What if there was a way to increase student engagement and rate of graduation, reduce the incidence of Title IV loan defaults, increase per-student revenue and reduce per-student institutional costs, such as marketing and operational expenses? Well, there is. It’s called the sweet spot, and it’s found by better leveraging and managing the data you already have.
The new Title IV regulations: inescapable box or target of opportunity?
The single greatest value proposition that proprietary institutions have to offer is their accessibility. Nontraditional students flock to for-profit schools because they have nontraditional needs, such as evening and online classes, increased guidance from student services, and accelerated programs to help them graduate and get into the workforce as soon as possible. The customer-centric profit motive of proprietary schools requires that they find new and innovative ways to meet the demands of this education-hungry demographic.
For over a decade, however, these nontraditional students at for-profit schools have been dropping out and defaulting at rates that far outpace traditional public and private nonprofit institutions. In fact, it is estimated that under new three-year measuring guidelines for cohort default rates, the industry average for proprietary schools could rise as high as 20-25 percent. Congress has taken note of this alarming trend and is seeking to reign in the most egregious schools by threatening their Title IV eligibility.
Many studies have shown that socioeconomic status and age have more to do with these rates than the type of institution attended. Although it may seem arbitrary or unfair to punish proprietary institutions for serving this older and more socioeconomically challenged demographic, the onus has nonetheless fallen on the schools to find the solution to the CDR problem without significantly reducing profitability or accessibility.
Of course, it’s all good and well to call out the problems, but the real challenge is converting them into solutions. How is this done? It’s called finding the sweet spot.
What is the sweet spot?
The sweet spot is a solution that strikes a perfect balance between generating more qualified inquiries and referrals, maintaining student engagement from admission to graduation, increasing per-student revenue, and decreasing per-student costs.
Sound daunting? It is. Sound impossible? It isn’t. In fact, this well-balanced solution is achievable using data, and usually data schools already collect, to maintain good contact with students through viable channels. Students that are more engaged are more likely to remain in school, reducing the chance that they will default while maximizing the revenue generated by tuition. After all, you can’t continue to generate revenue after a student has left school.
How does data help schools find the sweet spot?
So we’ve established that the best way to maintain Title IV eligibility and increase revenue per-student is to better target, communicate with and retain the students you already have. The question now is how cleaner and more actionable data can inform these efforts.
Data is central to all aspects of an education company’s operations. It’s more than just abstract bits of information – data is how you know who your students are, where they live, how to get in touch with them and how to foster the best possible educational outcome for them. Clean data is what your school, and its Title IV eligibility, lives and dies by.
By maintaining a clean repository of actionable contact information, you can not only keep in contact with your students, you can know who they are, how likely they are to default or drop out, how much and what types of aid they draw, and how best to meaningfully engage with them. You can proactively contact and counsel students that appear to be in danger of dropping out. You can get in touch with former students once they’ve slipped into default. You can even track individual student outcomes back to their original lead sources and manage your marketing mix accordingly.
In short, when it comes to managing your responsibilities to students and investors, it’s all about the data!
Why does all of this matter?
According to data generated for a recent government report, 57 percent of students who entered the 16 largest for-profits between July 2008 and June 2009 had withdrawn by the summer of 2010. That’s 546,749 withdrawals out of 959,220 enrollments. The median time enrolled for these students is 20 weeks.
According to the College Board, the average yearly tuition at a for-profit institution is $14,000. If a student only stays in school for 20 weeks, the revenue earned from tuition is approximately $5,384.62. That means, on average, a withdrawn student comes with a yearly opportunity cost of $8,615.38. When you factor in the high per-enrollment cost of marketing and admissions ($1500-$3000) as well as fixed operational costs, this is leaving an incredible amount of profitable revenue on the table.
Using the above figures, the industry generated approximately $2.94 billion from withdrawn students in 2009-2010. If these withdrawn students had stayed in school 50 percent longer (for a median of 30 weeks), this revenue would have expanded to $4.42 billion for a difference of $1.48 billion, or roughly the equivalent of one-and-ahalf EDMCs. If the industry were to retain 100 percent of these students, the difference comes to $4.71 billion, or rather 19.6 percent of this 24 billion dollar industry. Again, considering fixed per-student costs, nearly all of that difference is profit.
The road ahead
Moving forward, the for-profit industry is set to encounter some of the most fundamental changes to how it operated for the past 20 years. With changes to enrollment compensation and stricter controls regarding Title IV funding, there will come a greater emphasis on student outcomes and a higher premium on student retention. Financial success will no longer hinge purely on the number of students enrolled, but on the number of students that see a positive and sustainable change in their lives.Education professionals must be prepared to meet these challenges head-on with data tools and strategies that can not only address the new climate, but leverage the opportunities it presents. Better know your data, and you’ll better know your students and your school’s future. After all, it’s all about the data!